Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.000030 0.000034 0.000038 0.000043 0.000049 0.000055 0.000062
2024-10-27 0.000024 0.000029 0.000036 0.000044 0.000053 0.000064 0.000077
2024-11-03 0.000019 0.000026 0.000033 0.000043 0.000055 0.000070 0.000089
2024-11-10 0.000017 0.000024 0.000033 0.000044 0.000059 0.000078 0.000103
2024-11-17 0.000015 0.000022 0.000032 0.000045 0.000063 0.000085 0.000117
2024-11-24 0.000014 0.000021 0.000031 0.000046 0.000066 0.000093 0.000131
2024-12-01 0.000012 0.000019 0.000030 0.000045 0.000067 0.000097 0.000140
2024-12-08 0.000011 0.000018 0.000028 0.000044 0.000068 0.000101 0.000150
2024-12-15 0.000010 0.000017 0.000028 0.000045 0.000070 0.000107 0.000162
2024-12-22 0.000009 0.000016 0.000028 0.000046 0.000074 0.000115 0.000179
2024-12-29 0.000009 0.000016 0.000027 0.000046 0.000077 0.000121 0.000192
2025-01-05 0.000008 0.000015 0.000027 0.000048 0.000080 0.000130 0.000209
2025-01-12 0.000007 0.000014 0.000026 0.000046 0.000080 0.000132 0.000217
2025-01-19 0.000007 0.000014 0.000025 0.000047 0.000083 0.000139 0.000232
2025-01-26 0.000006 0.000013 0.000024 0.000046 0.000083 0.000143 0.000243
2025-02-02 0.000006 0.000012 0.000025 0.000047 0.000087 0.000152 0.000261
2025-02-09 0.000005 0.000012 0.000024 0.000048 0.000090 0.000159 0.000279
2025-02-16 0.000005 0.000012 0.000024 0.000049 0.000093 0.000168 0.000297
2025-02-23 0.000005 0.000011 0.000023 0.000048 0.000094 0.000171 0.000308
2025-03-02 0.000004 0.000010 0.000023 0.000047 0.000094 0.000174 0.000318
2025-03-09 0.000004 0.000010 0.000022 0.000048 0.000096 0.000181 0.000335
2025-03-16 0.000004 0.000010 0.000023 0.000049 0.000101 0.000192 0.000359
2025-03-23 0.000004 0.000010 0.000022 0.000050 0.000103 0.000199 0.000377